Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 161.477294 185.174938 211.744123 243.851789 281.748808 325.233875 379.163991
2025-10-26 130.208328 161.137879 199.042765 249.353383 315.033677 398.774786 515.084716
2025-11-02 110.907659 144.683151 188.735271 251.265417 339.153285 460.431335 644.266405
2025-11-09 97.990849 133.300046 181.708083 254.285398 362.736341 522.738752 784.320235
2025-11-16 87.673176 123.506000 174.735057 255.208246 381.998973 580.387720 927.482330
2025-11-23 79.037697 114.741778 167.674447 254.293969 397.343188 633.353145 1072.775829
2025-11-30 73.329151 109.475060 164.913905 259.210678 422.109872 705.045000 1265.182411
2025-12-07 65.674917 100.280282 154.834135 250.601642 422.303680 733.612333 1382.863914
2025-12-14 60.307303 94.098570 148.800192 247.824536 431.969187 780.393267 1546.213703
2025-12-21 56.645378 90.282538 146.176985 250.501185 451.745090 849.378824 1771.902939
2025-12-28 54.695525 89.094117 147.813373 260.944651 487.729511 956.896295 2110.622042
2026-01-04 52.826032 87.829686 149.120868 270.833376 524.011935 1071.734520 2498.424965
2026-01-11 48.875013 82.829533 143.718187 268.137176 536.237357 1141.807523 2810.651907
2026-01-18 46.456280 80.387422 142.841802 274.546895 569.714545 1269.621818 3327.045627
2026-01-25 43.775883 77.177288 140.117549 276.700822 594.022223 1381.161619 3840.303582
2026-02-01 41.508672 74.509515 138.124584 280.079689 621.777255 1508.297772 4453.996531
2026-02-08 39.221215 71.575863 135.264582 281.112122 644.016324 1626.415407 5090.045174
2026-02-15 36.956235 68.473629 131.723320 280.089335 660.898135 1734.031255 5739.264430
2026-02-22 35.485446 66.823079 131.027011 285.590377 695.936844 1904.575879 6712.075850
2026-03-01 32.857757 62.586597 124.393106 275.959455 688.219203 1942.004460 7167.984965
2026-03-08 30.992035 59.780199 120.605807 272.853976 698.321514 2039.773619 7937.777049
2026-03-15 29.745617 58.172466 119.310744 275.847108 726.675202 2206.897120 9124.054601
2026-03-22 29.203977 58.021492 121.276978 287.530882 783.456911 2491.465321 11078.729897